UK immigration fact-checked: What's really happening with small boats on our shores

Many politicians have been making claims they are working to reduce the number of small boats crossing the channel to the UK, but how successful are they?

Migrants Cross English Channel From France

The Home Office predicts that small boat crossings to the UK could reach 85,000 by the end of 2023 (Image: Getty)

Many politicians have claimed they are working to reduce the number of small boats crossing the channel to the UK, but how successful have their attempts been?

At the start of 2023, the Home Office predicted that the number of crossings could reach 85,000, but the number of journeys has actually decreased since 2022, falling from 45,774 to 27,314.

By the end of the year officials predict the total number of crossings will be about 30,000 due to a new returns deal with Albania and poor weather.

Most of those crossing the channel come from Iran according to Home Office stats, followed by a large contingent of Iraqis and Albanians.

Plans to house people who come to the UK by small boat cost the UK taxpayer £5.6m per day in 2022.

Record Numbers Of Migrants Cross English Channel By Sea

Small boat crossings have declined since last year (Image: Getty)

Since the current Government made a pledge to "stop the boats" more than 22,000 crossings have been made.

Of those who travel to the UK, about 90 percent claim asylum in the country, they are held in detention centres for a few days before being sent to accommodation while their claims are assessed.

Of all UK asylum claimants, the number of people who see their claims rejected has decreased from 18,000 in 2005 to just over 1,100 in the year to June 2021.

Home Office sign

Since January 2018 more than 108,000 crossings have taken place according to the Home Office (Image: Getty)
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The peak season for crossings begins in late summer when calmer weather tends to bring more arrivals. In summer 2022, one month saw 8,641 people cross the channel in a single month.

Crossings typically begin in May as earlier weather conditions make journeys more difficult.

As well as weather conditions causing issues for those travelling to the UK, many of the boats lack sufficient fuel to make the country's shores, which means boats often have to be rescued by larger ships.

Uncontrolled landings, where a small boat makes it to the UK without being intercepted are rare due to increased observation efforts with only a handful of boats slipping through the net.

Attempts to slow the number of crossings have included the 2022 Nationality and Borders Act and the 2023 the Illegal Migration Bill, which has led to some success in reducing crossings originating from Albania.

But Migrant Watch UK, which tracks the number of crossings, says the impact of the Illegal Migration Bill is yet to be seen.

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